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Bluffing in the situation with the all in player is bad in a DoN but it’s not in other games because it increases your cEV in the hand and almost always your $EV in the game.
I agree that if you are stacking off on that flop regardless you should flat call the flop.
In both plays are worth debating, but I took the more conservative one…if he had a really small pair like 22 or 33, he might have just called the all in, if he had a gut shot, he probably would have called as well. But what if he had 98…if he hits 9 on turn…he shoves…and hits 9 on river. I would much rather try to protect what I already have now, because making top 5 at this stage shouldn’t be too hard after that pot.
Ya, but who cares if it looks like you have an Ace? If you raise then you are not giving him the opportunity to bluff the rest of his stack… if you call he still has that opportunity. He might not do it, but he will some % of the time. And since he sucks, it’s probably a pretty high % of the time.
Yea it was good that I got the timing tell off him…had he not insta bet like that, I probably would have folded KK
Well if I made a call in this situation, he would realize that I would have an Ace (at the LEAST) or the queens. The only way I can see this guy shoving the turn is if he makes a miracle str8, or maybe has smthin like 22 (which I don’t think its all that likely) and makes a boat. If I put him all in here, its harder for him to tell if Im bluffing or if I have a hand, maybe 88 or 55, a call I think brings out the caution sign for him. Since this guy knows I fold a lot.
When Mitrich has 99, openfolding a 12x stack would b rly bad, but limp-calling off 40% of his stack was bad too… after limping he should have def LRR AI against Corde (though I would have just raised coming in to begin with)
Also, on the KK hand, since you correctly deduced he’s very, very likely bluffing, I think you should tank, and just call the flop to try to induce him to bluff the rest of his stack. I think he shoves the turn if you just call like 95% of the time or more. He has at MOST 4 outs, sometimes 2 outs, and is sometimes is drawing dead (JT, total airball like 87, 65 etc.). So shoving just stops him from donating the rest of his stack
Corde is very bad, but I doubt he’s re-raising you w/ AT-A2 preflop, but he’s calling with all of those hands. An Axx flop is a lot worse for you against corde than it would be against most the other players at the table, because if they just call you preflop most of their range is Med-low pocket pairs, and they’re folding most Ax hands PF.
That said, given that he lead pot into you though, ya, never fold against him. If he check-called though, or check raised then I’d be scared